Ismaily vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ismaily v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals
Ismaily vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Ismaily
MSR
0-1
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
Ismaily 1-2 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah squeezed past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ismaily had 40% of the ball to El Gounah's 60%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ismaily and 0.67 for El Gounah.
What was the final score of Ismaily vs El Gounah?
Ismaily 1-2 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ismaily vs El Gounah?
Before kick-off our model rated an El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 31%, draw 34%, El Gounah 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Gounah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.