NK Brinje 3-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
17%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
2.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.24
+13% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Ilirija Ilirija 0-3 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
17.05.2025 NK Brinje NK Brinje 4-1 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.11.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-6 HT 1-4 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
29.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 4-0 HT 2-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
27.11.2022 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
14.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Brinje
3-2
AWAY Ilirija
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, NK Brinje had 68% of the ball to Ilirija's 32%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Brinje had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for NK Brinje and 1.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Ilirija?

NK Brinje 3-2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 64%, draw 24%, Ilirija 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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