Bistrica 3-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.68/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.07
+63% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Krka
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2025 Krka Krka 0-4 HT 0-3 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
08.05.2025 Bistrica Bistrica 2-1 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
25.10.2024 Krka Krka 0-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
09.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 3-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
20.08.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
12.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica ran out comfortable winners over Krka 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bistrica and 0.50 for Krka.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Krka?

Bistrica 3-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 51%, draw 25%, Krka 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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