Cerro 1-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
0.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.91
-22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boston River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
19.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
06.07.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
19.05.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
12.02.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Boston River
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Boston River couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 46% of the ball to Boston River's 54%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Boston River?

Cerro 1-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro 31%, draw 30%, Boston River 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boston River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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