Danubio 2-2 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.49
+16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Progreso
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2025 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
31.05.2025 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
23.02.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
12.10.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
06.04.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
31.08.2022 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
2-2
AWAY Progreso
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
FAQ Danubio vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Danubio and Progreso shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28 Feb 2026. Half-time: 1-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Danubio had 60% of the ball to Progreso's 40%, shots finished 7-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 0.83 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio 2-2 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Danubio 49%, draw 28%, Progreso 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
28 Feb 2026
02:00 Cerro vs Boston River Analysis →
15:45 Albion vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →