Progreso vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Danubio
URUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
Progreso 1-0 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso squeezed past Danubio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Progreso had 39% of the ball to Danubio's 61%, shots finished 7-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Progreso and 0.83 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso 1-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Progreso 35%, draw 27%, Danubio 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.