Miramar Misiones 1-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.12/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.11
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-2 HT 1-2 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
14.09.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
27.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
02.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and Cerro Largo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 29% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 71%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo?

Miramar Misiones 1-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 39%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miramar Misiones), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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