Hamburg 0-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
9%
4.78
X/2
15%
8.6
X/X
14%
6.01
2/1
9%
20.5
2/2
12%
5.87
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
51%
-15.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
2.01/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.46
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.4 Crosses 11.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Elversberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 2.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
433 Passes 278
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 4-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
25.02.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
16.09.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
0-0
AWAY Elversberg
1.68 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
416 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg and Elversberg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hamburg had 58% of the ball to Elversberg's 42%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.68 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamburg and 2.00 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Elversberg?

Hamburg 0-0 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 36%, draw 30%, Elversberg 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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