Drochtersen / Assel 3-1 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.55
+2% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Emden
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.09.2024 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-1 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-4 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-0 HT 0-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel got the better of Kickers Emden 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Drochtersen / Assel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 0.33 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Kickers Emden?

Drochtersen / Assel 3-1 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 38%, draw 23%, Kickers Emden 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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