Luckenwalde 1-0 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.41/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.97
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
14.04.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
04.11.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
25.02.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 4-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Luckenwalde found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.83 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Hertha Berlin II?

Luckenwalde 1-0 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 37%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin II 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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