Eilenburg 3-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 48%
-16% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.94/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.47
-31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Babelsberg
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
27.01.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
04.08.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
24.11.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg squeezed past Babelsberg 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babelsberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Eilenburg and 1.00 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Babelsberg?

Eilenburg 3-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 30%, draw 24%, Babelsberg 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Babelsberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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