Babelsberg 2-2 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.84
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Eilenburg
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
04.08.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
24.11.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg and Eilenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Babelsberg and 0.25 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Eilenburg?

Babelsberg 2-2 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 45%, draw 28%, Eilenburg 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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