Hertha Berlin II 2-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.14/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.94
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
04.11.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
25.02.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 4-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II edged past Luckenwalde 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hertha Berlin II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 0.83 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde?

Hertha Berlin II 2-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 47%, draw 24%, Luckenwalde 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5
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