El Bayadh 1-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.82
2-3 Goals
32%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
7.06
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.0pp
37%
Draw
33%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
4W-0D-2L
AWAY ES Setif
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
19.09.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
15.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 3-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
23.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 2-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-2 HT 1-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.12.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
1-0
AWAY ES Setif
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh nicked a narrow win over ES Setif 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 37% / 32%) promised a tight game; El Bayadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Bayadh had 36% of the ball to ES Setif's 64%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Bayadh had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Bayadh and 0.67 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

El Bayadh 1-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - National Cup on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 31%, draw 37%, ES Setif 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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