Taffs Well 1-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Mar 2025

Taffs Well
1-3 HT 1-3
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Taffs Well vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-12.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taffs Well v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 61%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.70/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
201 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Taffs Well vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0 HT 2-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
04.03.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-3 HT 0-2 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC saw off Taffs Well 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Taffs Well and 3.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Taffs Well 1-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 28%, draw 28%, Pontypridd Town AFC 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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