Newport City vs Llantwit Major Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Llantwit Major — Team-Based Signals
Newport City vs Llantwit Major Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Newport City squeezed past Llantwit Major 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newport City and 1.50 for Llantwit Major.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
Newport City 2-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newport City 43%, draw 26%, Llantwit Major 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.