28/03/2025
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-2
Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
81%
23%
Draw
11%
15%
Away Win
8%
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
38%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colwyn Bay v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Colwyn Bay
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Denbigh Town
EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+28% /
+28%
3.31/0.78
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.49/3.17
+13%
/
+37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+39%
/
-15%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
379 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Colwyn Bay
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Denbigh Town
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Colwyn Bay edged past Denbigh Town 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh Town?
Colwyn Bay 1-0 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Denbigh Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 62%, draw 23%, Denbigh Town 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
28 Mar 2025