Jarun 0-2 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.15/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.78
-12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
19.10.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
19.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-3 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-2
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete got the better of Jarun 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Radnik Sesvete made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Jarun had 43% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 57%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jarun and 1.50 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Jarun 0-2 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jarun 35%, draw 29%, Radnik Sesvete 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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