Konyaspor 1-0 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.18
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
18%
5.17
X/2
9%
6.75
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.8
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.44/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.53
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.7 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
24.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
25.08.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
19.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TÜK
15.10.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
17.04.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-0
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.45 xG 0.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
290 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor squeezed past Gaziantep FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Konyaspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 52% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 48%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Konyaspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Konyaspor and 1.17 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Konyaspor 1-0 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 43%, draw 29%, Gaziantep FK 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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