Antalyaspor 2-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Mar 2025

Antalyaspor
2-1 HT 1-1
Alanyaspor
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.45
X/2
11%
6.3
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.42
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.16
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 Passes 463
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.05.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
05.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
16.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 2-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.33 xG 0.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
432 Passes 338
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor nicked a narrow win over Alanyaspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Antalyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 56% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 44%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 40%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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