Bodrum FK 2-4 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Mar 2025

Bodrum FK
2-4 HT 1-4
Fenerbahçe
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.12
6+ Goals
7%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
12.2
1/2
6%
22.9
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
8%
14.25
X/2
11%
3.92
X/X
16%
6.27
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.73
2/X
7%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.0pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodrum FK v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
– Crosses 20.4
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.43 xG 1.58
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
226 Passes 494
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TSL

Bodrum FK 2-4 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
2-4
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.75 xG 3.37
29% Ball Possession 71%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 1
212 Passes 630
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Bodrum FK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 29% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 71%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.75 to 3.37.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Bodrum FK 2-4 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 25%, draw 28%, Fenerbahçe 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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