Kayserispor 5-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.85
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
8%
12.2
X/X
11%
6.73
2/1
10%
20.25
2/2
9%
9.42
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.13/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.81
-48% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.2 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
297 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
10.03.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
27.10.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-4 HT 0-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
04.02.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-3 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
19.09.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
5-0
AWAY Hatayspor
4.89 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
237 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor cruised past Hatayspor 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kayserispor had 44% of the ball to Hatayspor's 56%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 4.89 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kayserispor and 1.17 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Hatayspor?

Kayserispor 5-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 56%, draw 22%, Hatayspor 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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