Stockport County 3-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2026

Stockport County
3-0 HT 2-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
23%
4.04
X/2
6%
11.4
X/X
13%
6.26
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
10%
8.93
2/X
5%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.88/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.58
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 67%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.1 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
3W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.02 xG 0.92
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
318 Passes 177
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
09.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-2 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.01.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
03.09.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2

Stockport County 3-0 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.75 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
296 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County cruised past AFC Wimbledon 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stockport County had 47% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 53%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.75 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 0.50 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Stockport County 3-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 57%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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