Wycombe Wanderers 4-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.84
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.65
X/1
26%
3.82
X/2
6%
12.2
X/X
8%
5.56
2/1
12%
23.5
2/2
12%
10.55
2/X
7%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.46/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.22
-31% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 63%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.7 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Port Vale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.82 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
204 Passes 230
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
16.04.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
23.12.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
04.02.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
01.11.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
24.03.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
4-0
AWAY Port Vale
2.23 xG 0.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
371 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Port Vale 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Port Vale's 48%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.23 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 0.67 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Port Vale?

Wycombe Wanderers 4-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 57%, draw 20%, Port Vale 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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