Blackpool 1-0 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.38
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.24
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
9%
4.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.28
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
373 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
08.02.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
28.09.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
13.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNTK
26.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-0
AWAY Burton Albion
0.87 xG 0.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
212 Passes 191
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
13 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool nicked a narrow win over Burton Albion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Blackpool had 52% of the ball to Burton Albion's 48%, shots finished 9-1, expected goals 0.87 to 0.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Blackpool 1-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 42%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
28 Mar 2026
18:00 Reading vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Exeter City vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:00 Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Wycombe Wanderers vs Port Vale Analysis →