Harborough Town 2-2 Bury Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.39
-16% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bury Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.08.2025 Bury Town Bury Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Bury Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town and Bury Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Harborough Town at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Bury Town?

Harborough Town 2-2 Bury Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Bury Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 63%, draw 23%, Bury Town 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
28 Mar 2026
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Guiseley Analysis →
18:00 AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch Analysis →
18:00 Leiston vs Banbury United Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Quorn Analysis →
18:00 Stourbridge vs St Ives Town Analysis →
18:00 Real Bedford vs Halesowen Town Analysis →