AFC Sudbury 1-2 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.98/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.10
-25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
25.03.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
02.11.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
13.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

AFC Sudbury 1-2 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 26%, draw 27%, Alvechurch 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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