Alvechurch 2-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.06
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.03.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
02.11.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
13.01.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch saw off AFC Sudbury 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Alvechurch and 0.50 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury?

Alvechurch 2-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 46%, draw 24%, AFC Sudbury 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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