Stourbridge 4-3 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.38/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.70
-20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
04.01.2025 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
10.08.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 HT 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
12.12.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 2-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
18.03.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-5 HT 1-3 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-2 HT 1-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge edged past St Ives Town 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stourbridge as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stourbridge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stourbridge and 1.33 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs St Ives Town?

Stourbridge 4-3 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 51%, draw 22%, St Ives Town 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
28 Mar 2026
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Guiseley Analysis →
18:00 AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch Analysis →
18:00 Harborough Town vs Bury Town Analysis →
18:00 Leiston vs Banbury United Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Quorn Analysis →
18:00 Real Bedford vs Halesowen Town Analysis →