St Ives Town 3-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.00/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.31
+40% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
10.08.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 HT 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
12.12.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 2-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
18.03.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-5 HT 1-3 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-2 HT 1-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
09.04.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-3 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Ives Town
3-1
AWAY Stourbridge
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town beat Stourbridge 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day St Ives Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, St Ives Town had 50% of the ball to Stourbridge's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stourbridge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Ives Town and 2.50 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Stourbridge?

St Ives Town 3-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 31%, draw 31%, Stourbridge 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stourbridge), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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