Bedford Town 1-5 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
2.25/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.97
+37% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spalding United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
1-5
AWAY Spalding United
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United cruised past Bedford Town 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Spalding United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bedford Town had 45% of the ball to Spalding United's 55%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Spalding United?

Bedford Town 1-5 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 38%, draw 28%, Spalding United 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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