United of Manchester 4-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +18%
1.76/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.73
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Morpeth Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
24.02.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-0 HT 2-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
14.10.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-5 HT 1-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-4 United of Manchester United of Manchester FAK
01.04.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
11.10.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 4-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United of Manchester
4-1
AWAY Morpeth Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester swept aside Morpeth Town 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had United of Manchester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, United of Manchester had 56% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, United of Manchester had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for United of Manchester and 1.83 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Morpeth Town?

United of Manchester 4-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 44%, draw 20%, Morpeth Town 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United of Manchester), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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