AFC Sudbury 1-2 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.76/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.72
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +107%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Banbury United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2024 Banbury United Banbury United 1-1 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United squeezed past AFC Sudbury 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Banbury United?

AFC Sudbury 1-2 Banbury United in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 43%, draw 25%, Banbury United 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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