Barwell 0-3 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
37%
+10.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -6%
1.93/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
+30% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Royston Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Royston Town Royston Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 2-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 2-4 HT 1-3 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
0-3
AWAY Royston Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town ran out comfortable winners over Barwell 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barwell had 45% of the ball to Royston Town's 55%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barwell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Barwell and 1.33 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Royston Town?

Barwell 0-3 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barwell 48%, draw 20%, Royston Town 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barwell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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