Leiston 1-0 Stratford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.53/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.57
-3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stratford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Stratford Town Stratford Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-0 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 3-4 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
21.03.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
1-0
AWAY Stratford Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Stratford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston nicked a narrow win over Stratford Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leiston had 50% of the ball to Stratford Town's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leiston and 1.67 for Stratford Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Stratford Town?

Leiston 1-0 Stratford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Stratford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leiston 45%, draw 22%, Stratford Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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