Workington 0-2 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.56/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.14
+9% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 2-0 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
11.11.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 4-3 HT 3-2 Workington Workington İNGNLP
21.04.2014 Workington Workington 1-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
POST-MATCH Workington vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley got the better of Workington 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Workington and 2.33 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Workington vs Guiseley?

Workington 0-2 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Workington 29%, draw 32%, Guiseley 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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