Beasain 3-2 Mutilvera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.33
-37% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beasain
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Mutilvera
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Mutilvera Mutilvera 1-0 HT 0-0 Beasain Beasain İS4
04.02.2023 Mutilvera Mutilvera 3-0 HT 1-0 Beasain Beasain İS4
17.09.2022 Beasain Beasain 1-3 HT 1-1 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
3-2
AWAY Mutilvera
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Mutilvera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beasain edged past Mutilvera 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beasain as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beasain had 74% of the ball to Mutilvera's 26%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mutilvera led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Beasain and 2.33 for Mutilvera.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Mutilvera?

Beasain 3-2 Mutilvera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Mutilvera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Beasain 55%, draw 24%, Mutilvera 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beasain) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beasain) ✗ Under 2.5
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