Fuenlabrada 1-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.6pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.42/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.26
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS4
16.03.2014 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
1-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada and Real Madrid III shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fuenlabrada at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 47% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fuenlabrada and 2.00 for Real Madrid III.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid III?

Fuenlabrada 1-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 41%, draw 27%, Real Madrid III 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fuenlabrada), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
28 Mar 2026
14:00 Valencia II vs Terrassa Analysis →
14:00 Puente Genil vs Yeclano Analysis →
18:30 Beasain vs Mutilvera Analysis →
18:30 UCAM Murcia vs Recreativo Huelva Analysis →
18:30 La Union Atletico vs Malaga II Analysis →
19:00 Samano vs Real Avila Analysis →