UCAM Murcia 2-0 Recreativo Huelva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.78/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.48
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +118%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
225 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2025 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-2 HT 0-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
15.01.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS4
02.02.2020 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
15.09.2019 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
2-0
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Recreativo Huelva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia got the better of Recreativo Huelva 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; UCAM Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 43% of the ball to Recreativo Huelva's 57%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for UCAM Murcia and 0.50 for Recreativo Huelva.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Recreativo Huelva?

UCAM Murcia 2-0 Recreativo Huelva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Recreativo Huelva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 34%, draw 31%, Recreativo Huelva 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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