Samano 0-4 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.86
Over 2.5
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
2.06
No
40%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.7pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
44%
+15.3pp
40%
BTTS No
56%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samano EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 69%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-71% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Avila
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.10.2025 Real Avila Real Avila 3-2 HT 2-0 Samano Samano İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samano
0-4
AWAY Real Avila
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samano vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila ran out comfortable winners over Samano 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Samano had 43% of the ball to Real Avila's 57%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Samano vs Real Avila?

Samano 0-4 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samano vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Samano 17%, draw 29%, Real Avila 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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