Melilla 3-0 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
2%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
13%
Away Win
13%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II EU Bookmakers 16%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.79/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.69
+2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Almeria II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Almeria II Almeria II 1-1 HT 1-1 Melilla Melilla İS4
10.05.2014 Almeria II Almeria II 2-3 HT 1-1 Melilla Melilla İS3
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla swept aside Almeria II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melilla and 1.50 for Almeria II.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Almeria II?

Melilla 3-0 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Melilla 63%, draw 24%, Almeria II 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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