Sassari Torres 3-1 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Livorno EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.01/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.48
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Livorno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 Livorno Livorno 3-1 HT 1-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
16.08.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-1 HT 2-0 Livorno Livorno İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
3-1
AWAY Livorno
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Livorno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres saw off Livorno 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 44% of the ball to Livorno's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sassari Torres and 2.00 for Livorno.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Livorno?

Sassari Torres 3-1 Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Livorno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 51%, draw 26%, Livorno 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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