US Latina 0-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
0.49/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.89
-50% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
08.03.2025 US Latina US Latina 1-4 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
27.10.2024 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
14.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.12.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-1
AWAY Catania
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania nicked a narrow win over US Latina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, US Latina had 48% of the ball to Catania's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for US Latina and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Catania?

US Latina 0-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split US Latina 25%, draw 27%, Catania 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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