Ospitaletto 3-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.76
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ospitaletto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ospitaletto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ospitaletto
3-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ospitaletto vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ospitaletto nicked a narrow win over GIANA Erminio 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Ospitaletto made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ospitaletto had 45% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 55%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Ospitaletto vs GIANA Erminio?

Ospitaletto 3-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ospitaletto vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ospitaletto 33%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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