Schwaben Augsburg 4-2 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 40%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.09/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.12
-31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.09.2025 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
29.03.2025 Schwaben Augsburg 2-3 HT 2-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-0 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg saw off Greuther Fürth II 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Schwaben Augsburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.67 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Schwaben Augsburg 4-2 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schwaben Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 40%, draw 22%, Greuther Fürth II 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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