Greuther Fürth II 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.63
Over 2.5
68%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
34%
-2.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
66%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.46/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II nicked a narrow win over Schwaben Augsburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greuther Fürth II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Greuther Fürth II 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 48%, draw 21%, Schwaben Augsburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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