Schwaben Augsburg 2-3 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 38%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
0.48/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.55
-69% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-0 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II edged past Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Greuther Fürth II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Schwaben Augsburg 2-3 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schwaben Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 37%, draw 30%, Greuther Fürth II 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) ✗ Under 2.5
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