Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.6pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.40/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.85
-29% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +119%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2025 Schwaben Augsburg 2-3 HT 2-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-0 HT 0-0 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II and Schwaben Augsburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Greuther Fürth II at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.00 for Schwaben Augsburg.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 58%, draw 18%, Schwaben Augsburg 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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