Sydney (K) 2-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 28 Mar 2026

Sydney (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.92/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.25
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
12.2 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 337
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2026 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
24.01.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
31.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 2-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
2-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) edged past Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Victory (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 41% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 59%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.33 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Sydney (K) 2-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 29%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory (K) 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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