Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
17%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.29
Over 2.5
66%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
53%
+12.1pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
17%
Away Win
24%
-7.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.05/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.27
+1% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Afan Lido
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
27.09.2025 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALFAW
28.03.2014 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 7-1 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido edged past Aberystwyth Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Aberystwyth Town carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 0.50 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?

Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 65%, draw 18%, Afan Lido 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
28 Mar 2026
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Airbus UK vs Guilsfield Analysis →
17:00 Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Newtown Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Llandudno FC Analysis →
17:00 Brickfield Rangers vs Flint Mountain Analysis →
17:00 Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Analysis →